Nicholls State vs. SFA Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18

Published 12:18 am Saturday, January 18, 2025

Saturday’s game at David R. Stopher Gymnasium has the Nicholls State Colonels (10-7, 4-2 Southland) taking on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (8-9, 1-5 Southland) at 4:00 PM ET on January 18. Our computer prediction projects a 72-64 win for Nicholls State, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Nicholls State is projected to cover the point spread (4.5) against SFA. The two teams are expected to go under the 135.5 over/under.

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Thibodaux, Louisiana
  • Venue: David R. Stopher Gymnasium
  • Line: Nicholls State -4.5
  • Point total: 135.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Nicholls State -215, SFA +172

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nicholls State 72, SFA 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Nicholls State vs. SFA

  • Pick ATS: Nicholls State (-4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (135.5)

Nicholls State has a 9-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to SFA, who is 7-7-0 ATS. The Colonels are 6-8-0 and the ‘Jacks are 4-10-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score 139.6 points per game, 4.1 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Nicholls State is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall while SFA has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Nicholls State Performance Insights

  • The Colonels have a +79 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.7 points per game. They’re putting up 74.8 points per game to rank 192nd in college basketball and are allowing 70.1 per outing to rank 137th in college basketball.
  • Nicholls State ranks 127th in the nation at 33.6 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 32.9 its opponents average.
  • Nicholls State knocks down 7.4 three-pointers per game (219th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.5 on average.
  • The Colonels score 93 points per 100 possessions (244th in college basketball), while allowing 87.2 points per 100 possessions (80th in college basketball).
  • Nicholls State has committed 1.6 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.8 (116th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (138th in college basketball).

SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks outscore opponents by 1.3 points per game (posting 64.8 points per game, 350th in college basketball, and allowing 63.5 per outing, 19th in college basketball) and have a +22 scoring differential.
  • The 35 rebounds per game SFA accumulates rank 71st in college basketball, 5.6 more than the 29.4 its opponents grab.
  • SFA makes 4.9 three-pointers per game (357th in college basketball) at a 25.5% rate (364th in college basketball), compared to the 5.9 its opponents make, shooting 28.5% from beyond the arc.
  • SFA has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 16.1 (361st in college basketball) while forcing 14.2 (39th in college basketball).

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