Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1

Published 7:19 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The New Orleans Pelicans (5-28) will try to break a 10-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-14) on Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at Kaseya Center as 9.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Pelicans Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 118 – Pelicans 104

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Pelicans

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 9.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-14.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (221.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 222.2
  • The Heat’s .500 ATS win percentage (15-15-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Pelicans’ .364 mark (12-21-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Miami covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 66.7% of the time. That’s more often than New Orleans covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (33.3%).
  • New Orleans and its opponents have gone over the over/under 54.5% of the time this season (18 out of 33). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (16 out of 30).
  • The Heat have a .611 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (11-7) this season, better than the .115 winning percentage for the Pelicans as a moneyline underdog (3-23).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are 20th in the NBA with 111 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, they rank sixth with 108.7 points allowed per contest.
  • With 43.5 boards per game, Miami is 19th in the NBA. It allows 45.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Heat rank 17th in the NBA with 25.4 assists per game.
  • Miami is forcing 14.2 turnovers per game this season (12th-ranked in NBA), but it has averaged only 12.4 turnovers per contest (fourth-best).
  • The Heat are sinking 14.4 threes per game (10th-ranked in league). They have a 37.3% shooting percentage (seventh-ranked) from downtown.

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Pelicans Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Pelicans are third-worst in the league offensively (106.7 points scored per game) and 25th on defense (117.9 points conceded).
  • New Orleans is 24th in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.9) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.7).
  • The Pelicans are 23rd in the NBA in assists (24.5 per game) in 2024-25.
  • New Orleans is 18th in the league in turnovers per game (14.5) and 12th in turnovers forced (14.2).
  • The Pelicans are the second-worst squad in the league in 3-pointers made (11.3 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.5%).

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