Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:37 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024

Our computer model predicts a win for the Kansas City Chiefs when they play the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Chiefs are putting up 23 points per game on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth, surrendering 18 points per contest. The Saints rank 12th with 349 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 16th with 330.3 total yards ceded per game on defense.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) Over (43) Chiefs 26, Saints 19

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have a 33.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New Orleans has covered three times in four games with a spread this season.
  • The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • New Orleans games have gone over the point total three out of four times this season.
  • The average total for Saints games is 44.9 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Chiefs a 71.4% chance to win.
  • Kansas City has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
  • This season, games featuring the Chiefs have gone over the point total twice.
  • Chiefs games average 45.4 total points per game this season, 2.4 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 23 18 26.5 22.5 19.5 13.5
Saints 31.8 17.5 29.5 12.5 34 22.5

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