Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
A win by the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For more information, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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On offense, the Falcons rank 26th in the NFL with 16.3 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th in points allowed (326.7 points allowed per contest). The Saints rank ninth with 343.3 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 335.3 total yards allowed per game on the defensive side of the ball.
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
- New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- So far this season, two New Orleans games have hit the over.
- The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
- Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Atlanta games have not hit the over yet this season.
- Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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